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Magdalene's avatar

Putin will definitely finish the denazification by fall, when the now clearing Rasputitsa (literally "season of bad roads") muds return. Only then will peace be made. And who can blame the Russians for not trusting any deal to restrain those who mercilessly murderered their own Russian speaking civilians in Donbass? They haven't forgotten about Minsk! Merkel herself admitted to acting in bad faith to rearm the Ukraine.

Can you imagine what the US would do if Mexico contained a significant concentrated enclave of Americans & the Mexican gov't shelled & slaughtered them? We would not stop until every last Mexican combatant was killed to ensure an end to the threat. It's a very loose analogy since the Ukraine, a term meaning periphery (as the center of the empire had moved east to Moscow) was always an artificial construct; empires such as the Hapsburg (Austro-Hungarian) & Polish-Lithuanian pushed Ukrainization (to make them feel like a separate people from their fellow Russians, despite the Kievan Rus being the origin of Russia) even before Vladimir Lenin's wheeling & dealing fraudulently officialized it through Soviet "Republic" status. Other neighboring countries also lost some land to the north & west of the Ukraine, but Russia is likely to take back much of their own lost land, probably to include Odessa. This will leave a landlocked rump state of a demilitarized zone ripe for regional reabsorption into respective parent nations once EU & NATO military support collapses & US subsidization ends (the Ukraine has been FULLY subsidized, military & civilian operations alike- the whole enchilada- since at least 2022).

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JohnAZ's avatar

Good summary, thanks.

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